基于财务分析的医药企业上市可行性研究: 以Y公司为例外文翻译资料

 2023-06-30 09:33:14

Feasibility Study on Listing of Pharmaceutical Enterprises Based on Financial Analysis:

Take Company Y as an Example

Yan Ma

Abstract

Health has always been one of peoplersquo;s demands for a high quality of life. For thousands of years, both Chinese and Western medicine have accumulated a lot of medical knowledge and ideas. However, due to the weakness of China in the past century, Chinese medicine has become irrelevant. However, with the outbreak and persistence of COVID-19 and Chinarsquo;s actions in the fight against the epidemic, people have further realized the importance of health, and TCM has again entered peoplersquo;s field of vision. Taking Company Y as an example, this paper analyzes the listing feasibility of Company Y from its macro environment, basic overview, advantages and disadvantages in the industry, financial indicators, enterprise valuation and other aspects. Then, based on the above analysis and combined with the development trend and recent development goals of the enterprise, it concludes that under the current macro and micro environment, Company Y can and should be encouraged to list on the New Third Board, with a stock price of about 7 yuan and a price-earnings ratio of about 25 times.

Keywords

Chinese Medicine Industry, Y Company, Listing Valuation, Financial Analysis

1.Introduction

In recent years, TCM, as a unique resource in China, has played an increasingly important role in Chinarsquo;s economic and social development. In order to meet the peoplersquo;s demand for TCM services and give full play to the unique role of TCM in social development, the State Council issued the Outline of the Strategic Plan for the Development of TCM (2016-2030) in February 2016, which aims to achieve full coverage of TCM services by 2030 and take the TCM industry to a new level. In the same year, to further improve the TCM service system, the Conference adopted the Pharmaceutical Law of the Peoplersquo;s Republic of China, which came into effect on July 1, 2017. A series of policies for traditional Chinese medicine industry to build a good environment for development, to the traditional Chinese medicine industry in our country have created a new space to grow up.

2.Analysis of the Macro Environment

2.1.Political and Legal Environment

With the gradual deepening and improvement of the reform of the national medical system, new medical policies will be gradually implemented to accelerate the standardization and standardization of my countryrsquo;s pharmaceutical industry. The competition in Chinarsquo;s pharmaceutical industry is undergoing new changes, which may affect the production and operation of state-owned enterprises within a certain period of time. The specific policy content is shown in Table 1.

2.2.Economic Environment

The advancement of science and technology continues, and Chinarsquo;s medical expenses are still far lower than those of developed countries. In 2018, my countryrsquo;s traditional Chinese medicine processing and manufacturing industry had an operating income of 239.5 billion yuan and a total profit of 16.5 billion yuan (Data source: Compiled by China Commercial Industry Research Institute). As shown in Figure 1, from 2011 to 2020, Chinarsquo;s medical expenditures have shown a steady upward trend. As one of the three pillar industries of the traditional Chinese medicine industry, the traditional Chinese medicine decoction pieces industry has become the fastest growing sub-industry in the pharmaceutical industry in the past decade.

2.3.Social and Cultural Environment

In recent years, the number of outpatient visits in TCM medical institutions has increased, reaching approximately 1 billion visits by 2017. The cost of medicines for inpatients in integrated Chinese and Western hospitals has also increased year by year, and the number of discharged patients from Chinese-type medical institutions has increased significantly. By making full use of the unique advantages of traditional Chinese medicine, we will continue to promote the traditional Chinese medicine service system to the grassroots level, so that it can play an important role in the treatment of disease, treatment and rehabilitation of major diseases. Our country has further deepened reforms, improved the development of Chinese medicine at the local level, and continued to modernize Chinese medicine. Speeding up the pace of “going out” has created a new form for the revitalization and development of Chinese medicine.

Table 1. Specific policies and content.

time

policy

main content

2015.4

“Plan for the Protection and Development of Chinese Medicinal Materials (2015-2020)”

Comprehensive arrangements have been made for the protection of Chinese herbal medicine resources and the development of the Chinese herbal medicine industry for the current and future periods. This is my countryrsquo;s first national-level plan for the protection and development of Chinese herbal medicines.

2016.2

“Outline of the Strategic Plan for the Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine (2016-2030)”

By 2020, everyone will basically have access to traditional Chinese medicine services. The fields of traditional Chinese medicine medical treatment, health care, scientific research, education, and industrial culture will be comprehensively developed in a coordinated manner. The standardization, informatization, industrialization, and modernization of traditional Chinese medicine will continue to improve.

2017.1

“The Belt and Road Development Plan of Traditional Chinese Medici

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基于财务分析的医药企业上市可行性研究:

以Y公司为例

马岩

摘要

健康一直是人们对高质量生活的要求之一。几千年来,中西医学都积累了大量的医学知识和思想。然而,由于近百年来中国的衰弱,中医已变得无关紧要。然而,随着新冠肺炎疫情的爆发和持续,以及中国抗击疫情的行动,人们进一步认识到健康的重要性,中医再次进入人们的视野。本文以Y公司为例,从其宏观环境、基本概况、在行业中的优劣势、财务指标、企业估值等方面分析了Y公司上市的可行性。然后,基于以上分析并结合企业的发展趋势和近期发展目标,得出结论:在当前的宏观和微观环境下,应该鼓励Y公司在新三板上市,股价7元左右,市盈率约25倍左右。

关键词 中药行业;Y公司;上市估值;财务分析

目录

1.介绍 1

2.宏观环境分析 1

2.1 .政治和法律环境 1

2.2 .经济环境 1

2.3 .社会文化环境 1

2.4 .技术环境 3

3.Y公司的基本业务信息 3

4.行业内拟上市公司的优势和劣势(SWOT分析) 4

4.1 .优势 4

4.2 .弱点 4

4.3 .机会 4

4.4 .威胁 4

5.上市公司财务指标及估值分析 5

5.1 .主要财务指标分析 5

5.2 .上市公司的估值分析 7

6.Y公司IPO融资分析及建议 9

1.介绍

近年来,中医药作为我国特有的资源,在我国经济社会发展中发挥着越来越重要的作用。为满足人民群众对中医药服务的需求,充分发挥中医药在社会发展中的独特作用,国务院于2016年2月发布了《中医药发展战略规划纲要(2016-2030年)》,旨在到2030年实现中医药服务全覆盖,使中医药产业迈上新台阶。同年,为进一步完善中医药服务体系,大会通过了《中华人民共和国药品法》,该法于2017年7月1日起施行。一系列政策为中药产业营造了良好的发展环境,给我国中药产业创造了新的成长空间。

2.宏观环境分析

2.1 .政治和法律环境

随着国家医疗体制改革的逐步深入和完善,新的医疗政策将逐步实施,以加快我国医药行业的规范化和标准化。我国医药行业的竞争正在发生新的变化,可能在一定时期内影响到国有企业的生产经营。具体政策内容如表1所示。

2.2 .经济环境

科技的进步在继续,中国的医疗费用仍然远远低于发达国家。2018年,我国中药加工制造业营业收入2395亿元,利润总额165亿元(数据来源:中国商业产业研究院整理)。如图1所示从2011年到2020年,中国的医疗支出一直呈稳步上升趋势。中药饮片行业作为中药行业的三大支柱产业之一,已经成为近十年来医药行业发展最快的子行业。

2.3 .社会文化环境

近年来,中医医疗机构门诊就诊数量不断增加,到2017年达到约10亿人次。中西医结合医院住院患者的药费也逐年上涨,中医类医疗机构的出院患者明显增多。充分利用中医药的独特优势,不断推进中医药服务体系向基层延伸,使其在疾病治疗、重大疾病治疗和康复中发挥重要作用。我国进一步深化改革,促进地方中医药发展,继续推进中医药现代化。加快“走出去”步伐,开创了中医药振兴发展的新形式。

表2-1 具体政策和内容。

时间

政策

主要内容

2015.4

《中药材保护与发展规划(2015-2020年》

对当前和今后一个时期的中药材资源保护和中药材产业发展作出了全面部署。这是我国第一个保护和发展中草药的国家级计划。

2016.2

《中医药发展战略规划纲要(2016-2030年)》

到2020年,基本实现人人享有中医药服务。中医医疗、保健、科研、教育、工业文化等领域将全面协调发展。中医药标准化、信息化、产业化、现代化水平将不断提高。

2017.1

“一带一路中医药发展规划”

(2016-2020)

明确到2020年,基本形成中医药“一带一路”全方位合作新格局。与沿线国家建立30个海外中医药中心,颁布20个中医药国际标准,注册100个中药产品,建设50个中药基地。

2018.1

《中药监管指引(测试版)》

政策指出,要进一步修改完善《指南》,为今后在全国范围内实施《指南》打下良好基础。加快中医药监管执法发展,明确中医药监管执法职责任务,建立健全工作制度,提升监管执法能力。完善中医药监管执法基础理论,加强中医药监管执法规范化建设,发挥示范引领作用。

2018.4

“技术上的公告

为了加强中药饮片的管理和规范,增强中药饮片质量的可控性,国家医药产品监督管理局组织制定了《省级中药饮片炮制规范修订技术指南》。

省级中药饮片炮制规范的修订指导原则

省级中药材炮制规范(2018年第16号)

2018.7

《中药材生产质量管理规范(征求意见稿)》

为规范中药材生产,保证中药材质量,促进中药材生产的标准化和规范化,企业应当严格按照本规范的要求组织中药材生产,保护野生中药材和生态环境,促进中药材资源的可持续利用和发展。

2018.8

《关于加强中医药健康服务创新的指导意见》

到2030年,建立以预防保健、医疗、康复全生命周期健康服务链为核心的中医药健康服务技术创新体系,完善“产学研医”协同创新机制,中医药健康服务技术创新能力显著提升。要以中医药为主体,融合现代医学等学科技术方法,不断提高中医药健康服务理论知识,发展中医药健康服务技术和方法,丰富中医药健康服务产品,创新中医药健康服务模式。

2018.12

《国家道地药材生产基地建设规划(2018-2025年)》

到2020年,建立道地药材标准化生产体系,基本建成道地药材资源保护监测体系:加快建设覆盖道地药材重点产区的生产基地。到2025年,完成道地药材保护监测体系建设,建立完整的道地药材生产流通体系,建成覆盖主要道地药材的标准化生产基地,全面加强道地药材管理,优良品种覆盖率达到50%以上,绿色防控实现全覆盖。

图2-1 中国的医疗费用。

2.4 .技术环境

随着科技的发展和进步,“智慧 中草药”领域的发展已经多元化。主要形式有通过互联网进行在线咨询、中药材电商、O2O送药、O2O按摩保健和中医药教育、中医药传媒、健康管理、智能设备等。未来,随着5G、人工智能等技术的快速发展,中医药行业也将快速发展。

3.Y公司的基本业务信息

Y公司以中药饮片加工为基础,从药材种植到中药饮片加工,最后到产品销售,形成了完整的产业链。公司不断完善产品营销体系,其销售点实现了全国全覆盖,同时正在稳步拓展国外市场,并得到国内外客户的广泛认可。公司发展前景良好。Y公司坚持鼓励自主创新,为员工创造良好的创新环境。自成立以来,Y公司已拥有12项专利,另有14项专利进入实质审查阶段,技术创新不断进步。

从可以看出表2普通中药饮片销售收入近三年占主营业务收入的90%以上,2016年高达99.38%,近年来呈下降趋势。其次,随着中药行业的发展,直接口服饮片销售收入增加,人们追求更方便的中药产品。因此,公司一直根据社会需求不断改进和创新。

表3-1 2016-2018年主营业务收入构成。 单位:万元

2016

2017

2018

产品名称

每单位金额

百分比(%)

金额金额百分比

(%) (%)

普通饮片

24,044.18

99.38

28,161.57

99.32

12,053.06

98.65

饮片的毒性

150.29

0.62

167.74

0.59

25.12

0.21

直接口服饮片

-

-

25.23

0.09

139.29

1.14

总结

24,194.47

100.00

28,354.53

100

12,217.47

100

4.行业内拟上市公司的优势和劣势(SWOT分析)

4.1 .优势

原材料优势:公司总部位于“中国药都、华佗故里”安徽亳州。它以3700多年的悠久文明闻名中外,是中国最大的中药材集散地。被列入安徽省首批战略性新兴产业集聚发展基地。

人才优势:公司拥有完善的能力选拔和任用机制,根据自身的人力资源规划和实际用人需求,积极寻找和吸引大量有

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